Game 6 Boston / Detroit

The thought of any game six usually makes any true Boston fan whince (sorry
Buckner) but not tonight. Boston +2.5 f/h, +6 and ML

Rip is banged up but will play and that could be a mistake as he banged up
shooting elbow. The Hunter outburst last game shows you just how little this
team believes in Flip at the helm. The Celtics now the Lakers clinched and they
know that they have yet to win a game six and that puts the same type of
pressure on them that they had to win their first road game. This one is
over!

Boston vs. Detroit Game 6

Pistons +6

Before Celtic nation declares me a traitor and a turncoat hear me out. :) The
good news is for my Celtics is I have been very cold in the NBAA playoffs.

I believe and certainly hope that the Celtics win this game but six points is
too much and I would not be surprised if they lose tonight. The Pistons know
they can win on the road and already won in Boston. They also have been
criticized for not giving it thier all unless they are backed against the wall
something I think they will take to heart tonight. The Celtics need a full
effort from the team to beat the Pistons and I really have only seen it on a
couple of occassions. Garnett is shooting 8 ft jumpers instead of going to the
rack and Allen is AWOL but Doc still tries to force him into the game. The Celts
have now played 16 games in 31 days, all high intensity contests, causing not
only physical fatigue, but mental as well. "I don't like to use the fatigue
card,” Rivers said “ ,but I don't think it's physical fatigue, but yes,
from watching the film, there was some mental fatigue." Boston hopes playing at
TD Northbank Garden will reenergize them and don’t fall prey to being 1-8 ATS
revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points this season.If the
Detroit backcourt plays with the passion McDyess, they should win and move up to
8-1 ATS as a road underdog in the 5-10.5 point range.The underdog is 9-3 ATS in
the last 12 meetings.

Final: Celtics 94 Detroit 90 :)

Spurs / Lakers

Quick hits for me:

Spurs -4

San Antonio will attempt to even the series and raise record at home to
13-3 ATS versus good foul drawing teams, who shoot 27 or more free throws a
game. The Spurs are also 17-4-2 against the spread as playoff favorites.

Spurs are 7-3-1 versus the oddsmakers number in the postseason, when
favored by 4.5 or less points. All three games in this series have gone Under
and the Spurs are on 7-0 UNDER roll.

Under 192.5

San Antonio:
25-7 Under after covering 2 of last 3
5-1
Under vs. Lakers

Looking for the home team to win with defense again and to tie up this
series.

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Game 4 Boston/ Detroit

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On to the game: Boston/Detroit

Boston +6

Although they have had trouble winning on the road in the playoffs don't
forget that the Celtics were great on the road in the regualr season. The win in
game three was enormous as all of the pressure now squarely sits with the
Pistons. Rodney Stucky has been a superstar for the Pistons but its the Celtics
that have gotten better bench play of late overall. Doc Rivers ran a superb game
plan and got everyone involved and helped guards bust the press with back court
screens. Boston is now 34-16 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season.
The Pistons showed zero motivation in the second half and gave up when they
needed to standup. The Pistons again exhibited why they are 2-13 ATS in the
Conference Finals over the last three seasons. They have a history of falling
down after a bad performace as noted by 15-30 ATS after scoring 35 points or
less in the first half last game.Boston has covered last 20 of 28 contests as
underdogs and 6-0 against the number when priced at 5-to 10.5 points and they
will get my money tonight.

p.s. Take time today to remember the troops fighting today
and the ones that gave the ultimate sacrifice. GOD Bless.

Boston / Detroit Game 3

Celtics +5

The Celtics lost a pivotal
game two and know now that they must win a game on the road if they want to take
this series. The Celtics have been prepared to take a game on the road and know
that they can win in Detroit as they did it during the season. The Celtics seem
to be excited about finally being in the underdog role. When asked about being
down in a series for the first time, Ray Allen responded, “I’m excited about
it,” offered Allen. “We just put ourselves in a position where we’ve put our
backs up against the wall.” The big three are starting to gel and the key will
be how and if the Celtics bench can respond to the challenge, they were the
difference in the loss in game two and could be the difference in the win today.
I am not ready to crown them champions of the East but I like them in this game
tonight.

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Boston / Detroit Game One

Over 173.5

Pound this play this game will go way over the total tonight. The Celtics
have trouble rotating out and will be over matched at the guards spots and the
fouls and points will come in a hurry!

Game Seven! Boston Vs Cleveland

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Celtics -8

The home tam has been dominant in the playoffs overall but the Celtics have
been incredible at home. The play of Rondo in the last home game is very
impressive and if he could maintain that play today this game will not even be
close. In fact if not for a few bad calls the Celtics would have won the last
game. That was by far one of the worst calls I had seen in the playoffs. (I
digress and am a homer, but it was bad) Home teams are 21-2 and 15-6-2 ATS in
the semifainal round and after the horrible shooting game they had in Cleveland
(minu KG) they should be ready to prove a point today. No arguing with Doc
Rivers team at home, with perfect 7-0 playoff record and five covers. He’s
banking on the fact his club is 42-6 on the parquet (30-17-1 ATS) and 10-2 ATS
after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35 percent or less this
season.

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Two Units: Utah -1.5

I am a firm believer in the theory that a team is not in trouble until they
lose at home. Although the Jazz were thumped twice in LA they rebounded with a
good win and they will do it again today to knot up the series. They were the
best home team in the NBA and will win again.

Four Units: Hornets +6

The Hornets are the better team and they lost the last game but don't look
for it to happen today, because the Hornets are ready. It took a top notch game
by the Spurs and Parker to win and cover in the last game. The Hornets are 24-9
ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.New Orleans
is 10-2-1 ATS after allowing 100 or more points.

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NBA Tonight

I missed this first game but I am back to try again and I am going to take
the chalk again.

Boston -9

Boston frustrated the Cavs and Lebron with crazy defense and you can see more
of it on tap tonight. The difference is you can look for a solid contribution
from Pierce and Allen who were invisible in game one and they will make a
difference. Cleveland limps home in a hole 0-2.

Cleveland:
2-11 ATS off BB ATS
wins

Boston:
26-13 ATS off home win

Spurs -7

I hate to take two teams with chalk tonight but lets face it the Spurs need
this game and they are at home and will get plenty of calls on their side
tonight. Look for a strong outside game and the Spurs to take game three in big
fashion.

New Orleans:
2-17 ATS Away off DD division win



San Antonio:
26-10 ATS at home off DD loss
63-41 ATS
off 3+ ATS losses

NBA NEW
ORLEANS at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Road teams (NEW
ORLEANS) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent
off a road loss
59-26 over the last 5
seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4
units )
9-5 this
year. ( 64.3% 3.5 units )

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Tuesday NBA Cleveland / Boston

Cleveland Vs Boston

There is no doubt about it I am a Celtic fan so I will asterik
my pick on game one as showing some bias. The first thing that stands out about
this game is the line as ten points seems way too high. The Cavs are very
talented and this line seems inflated, and that is just one of the reasons I
like it. The celtics got almost upended by the eight
seed Hawks and will make sure they do not go down that same road again. Pierce
gets James on defense and has always claimed to be a great defender and will be
put to the test. The Celtics are 39-6 and 29-15-1 at TD Banknorth Garden, where
they will be the first two games. The Pierce posse is 9-1 ATS after game where
they allowed a shooting pct. of 35 percent or less this season. The Celtics are
also 34-14 ATS off a win by ten points or more. I am staying away from the total
with a lean to the over. James will not have help by his supporting cast and the
Celtics win game one easily!

Cleveland:
14-26 ATS off DD win
13-27 ATS
off ATS win

Boston:
23-6 ATS off DD home win
38-18 ATS off
ATS win

Saturday NBA

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Four Units: Hornets -3

The Hornets beat the Mavericks in easy fashion but are still hungry to prove
they belong in the same category with the top teams in the West. Kobe was named
MVP and that should add fire to Paul who has already shined in the playoffs. The
Spurs were just 16-27 ATS on the road this year and the Hornets have covered 21
of the last 28 as hme favorites.

San Antonio:
3-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or
less


New Orleans:
23-9 ATS off ATS loss

Three Units: Magic +6.5

The Magic may not be ready to advance to the next level but they are ready to
take Detroit to a deep series and I would not be surprised at all if they steal
this game. The Magic have size and quickness and are 15-6-1 ATS as road dogs.
The Magic were the elite road team this year in the NBA with a few others and it
will show why tonight.

Orlando:
17-7 ATS as an
underdog

Detroit:
8-22 ATS at home revenging SU loss as
favorite
13-28 ATS after a game where they made 12+ 3 point shots

Friday NBA

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Washington -3.5

Washington showed alot of heart in the last game against the Cavs and now the
pressure sits solidly on Cleveland to wrap this up. The Wizards realized to take
James out of the game you put him on the line.

Boston / Atlanta over 189

Bibby and the Hawks play much better at home and the big three showed last
gam so you can look for more points again tonight in this one and this game to
sail over.

 

Houston +7.5

The Rockets play well at Utah and that says alot since the Jazz barely lost
at home this year. The Rockets know that this is the game to win to do to the
Jazz what happened to them last year and finally get T-Mac to the next
round.