Sneak Sheet Wall to Wall NBAI am hitting the NBA Huge Tonight and will have a ton of games first a few notes:
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Check out the handicapping team I am putting together as a captain at the Handicapper Hut and get the details on my BCS bowl contest!
http://www.pstpicks.com/Streakcatcher/view_all_messages.php?forum_id=28&group_id=21
Now on to the NBA I am going to cover every game quickly with some stats and the play I would suggest.
Knicks/PhillyIf I had to take a side I would lean to the sixers but looking at the total tonight and I like the over 186. When these teams take the floor it’s a superstar mentality and defense shows up late. That turns into a scoring fest.
When ANY NBA Team played as a 3.5 to 6 Road Underdog - During the month of December - Coming off 1 ATS win the over is 70-42 (Knicks)
When NEW YORK team Played as Road team as a Underdog - with 1 day off - After a conference game - Coming off 1 ATS win the over is 21-8
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Home team - Total is between 185 to 190 - with 1 day off - Coming off 1 over the over is 12-6-1
Phoenix / WashingtonI am going to pass on this the side with a lean to Washington but when it comes to the total I like the over 223.5. This may seem high but the suns are sharing the ball very well and are off a high scoring game. Phoenix is 15-5 Over Away after scoring 120+ points and Washington is 7-0 Over after scoring 100+ points BB games. When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Underdog - After a conference game - Coming off 2 overs the over is 10-5.
When ANY NBA Team played as a Road team - Before a non division game - Last 2 years - Coming off a Road win as a Favorite - Coming off a 12-15 point win the over is 27-17-1 (PHX)
When PHOENIX team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Coming off a Win over Eastern Atlantic opponent the over is 23-15.
Indiana / Orlando The Magic are one of the best teams in the business this year and looking better and better! I like the under in this game but I am going to stick with the side.
Magic -8 The Magic owns the box and will beat up the Pacers inside. Indiana is 4-14 ATS off BB ATS wins and Orlando is 17-3 ATS in all games! They remember a symbolic loss to the Pacers last year and will not let it happen again.
TWO UNITS: Pistons -8
Chicago / DetroitThe Bulls and the Pistons always have some great games and the Pistons have revenge for a loss earlier in the year. Detroit will be ready tonight and will go after the Bulls defensively and keep a low scoring game at home in their favor. Chicago is 5-23 ATS Away off an Under and just not playing well at all!
THREE UNIT: UNDER 201
Memphis/New OrleansNew Orleans has been horrible at home overall and offensively they have yet to have a very explosive game. The Grizzlies are focusing on defense and the coach has asked them to play tight defense tonight and this leads to a under in the Big easy tonight.
When MEMPHIS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Division Opponent - Last 5 years - Coming off 1 under the under is 10-4
ONE UNIT: UNDER 189.5
Boston / TorontoThe big story is that the Big 3 are back in Celtics but did you know that they are the top of the charts in defensive categories? That equals a low scoring game tonight.
When BOSTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Before a conference game - with 1 day off - Scored between 111 - 115 POINTS FOR in their last game the under is hitting at 60%
TWO UNITS: Jersey +4.5
Houston/New JerseyKidd should be back for this game and he is eager to prove he wants to play and does not want out, and to do that he will have to put up some good numbers tonight. I love home teams on NBA especially home dogs and the Nets fit that role.
TWO UNIT: JAZZ PK
Jazz/ SpursThe key to this is to make sure that Duncan IS PLAYING. If he plays tonight to me the Jazz are a THREE unit play. When SAN ANTONIO team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite - with 1 day off - Scored 95 or more points FOR in their last game they are 3-8 ATS. When UTAH team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of December - After a non division game - Coming off a Road loss they are 10-6 ATS.
Milwaukee / Seattle is a pass for me although I like Milwaukee and the under.
TWO UNIT: Over 193
Clippers / Kings You might wonder exactly who will score in this one with key players out and lesser plays getting the call, it won’t matter this one will go over tonight and look for a hectic pace. When LA CLIPPERS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Total is between 190 to 195 - After a non division game - Coming off a Road loss the over is 24-12-1
When LA CLIPPERS team played as a Road team - Before a non conference game - Total is between 190 to 195 - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog the over is 17-7
When SACRAMENTO team played as a Home team - Last 2 years - Coming off a 2 game winning streak the over is 11-6
FOUR UNIT: Miami +8.5
Miami / Golden St. The Heat has disappointed plenty of people this year and after last night many will think this ship has sailed and the Heat are done. Veteran teams and the Heat have always started slow and D Wade has had enough games to get ready and SHAQ made it publicly known that he wants the ball and he is not done. The Warriors are playing much better than they started since Steven Jackson came back, but not tonight. The HEAT win!
ONE UNIT: Miami +310
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