Sunday Hoops

NBA

Houston +7

The Rockets have adjusted well without Yao but this will put them to the test today when the face the Spurs. These points are a bit too high and T-Mac can carry these guys along the way.

Philly +4
The Cavs are at home and should be relaxed for this one, but maybe a little too relaxed and will get caught napping against a Sixer team that is believing in themselves at the right time and should pull the upset here.

When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Total is between 190 to 195 - Scored 95 or less points FOR in their last game they are 10-4 ATS

Raptors +2.5

The road is not an easy place to win and the Hornets found that out in Boston and will feel it again today when they head to Canada to play the Raptors.

When TORONTO team played as a Home team - playing on Sunday - After a conference game - Coming off a Win over Eastern Atlantic opponent they are 11-6 ATS

Seattle +6

I will back this home dog all day long against a team in the Kings that do not play well on the road, this is my biggest play of the day!
When SEATTLE team played as a Home team - Before a conference game - Scored 95 or less points FOR in their last game - Coming off a 2 game losing streak they are 12-5-1 ATS

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NBA Tonight

NBA:
Cleveland +7.5

The Pistons are off a nice win where they clinched a playoff spot. They won’t put it into cruise control but you can look for them to fail to cover tonight against the Cavs. Play the over in this game too!

Milwaukee +10.5

The Bucks have been a very bad team this year, but the Bulls have been bad too. They are still playing but barely and not worthy of a double digit spread.

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NBA TONIGHT

Tough bounces last night cost me some coin but you can’t keep a good capper down, lol..here are tonight’s plays!






Four Unit Selection:

Bulls +7

It’s a classic let down spot for the sixers after a win over the Celtics and I would not be shocked to see a money line win by the Bulls on the road. When CHICAGO team played as a Road team - Before a conference game - Allowed 91 - 95 AGAINST in their last game they are 20-8 ATS
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Home team - Vs Central opponent - Coming off a 2 game winning streak they are 3-9 ATS

Three Unit Selection:

Washington / Seattle over 203

Washington did not put a good offensive performance together yesterday and they will have the chance to make up for it against Seattle that plays no defense! When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Underdog - During the month of March - Coming off 2 ATS win the over is 57-34-1
Bucks +7.5
The Hawks lost last night to the Bulls is the more devastating that folks may think and it will cost them the 8th spot as they will slowly lose ground to the Pacers for the last spot in the playoffs. It’s a big disappointment. It just seems like we didn’t have the energy tonight,” Atlanta’s Joe Johnson said. “We came out lackadaisical.” You can hear it in their voice they are done and this number is too big for them to cover. Atlanta is 14-25 ATS when playing on BB days

Indiana +5.5
I lost big on the pacers last night but I am not spiteful because I know they have talent. This is a huge game since both teams re fighting for the thrill to lose to Boston in the first round of the playoffs. Indiana is 11-7 ATS when playing on BB days and New Jersey is 1-5 ATS after DD win.

Two units:
Boston -7
This number seems high tonight but the Celtics looked past the Sixers and got beat but Powe looked great and that will help in the future. The Celtics always seem to get up against teams from the West and they will again tonight. Boston is 22-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5.
When BOSTON team played as a Home team - Before a non division game - During the month of March - Coming off 1 under they are 11-6 ATS

When PHOENIX team played as a 3.5 to 6 Road Underdog - with 1 day off - Coming off a 1 game loss they are 4-10 ATS


One Unit Selection:
Heat +7.5

Sorry its still the Knicks to me and this line is to big even against the Heat. New York is 1-11 ATS in March

Toronto -2
The pistons may have rip back but that will not be good enough in Canada tonight. The Raptors have revenge tonight and they will get it! Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TORONTO) revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points24-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.4% 18.2 units )3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 2.0 units )

FOUR UNIT SELECTION:
This is a big play for me and not only do I like it but I think this underdog has what it takes to win outright tonight.
Pacers +7
The Pacers are still in the playoff hunt and need to win every game to stay in it, the Wlash story about maybe leaving to the Knicks only to deny it will not have an affect on this young club. New Orleans has beaten some impressive teams at home lately to include Boston, Lakers, the Spurs and the Rockets. Now that they hit the road you can expect them to have some letdown and not be ready for this game tonight. After this game they have Cleveland and the Boston so this is a very easy look by game!

When INDIANA team played as a Home team - Last 3 years - Coming off 1 under they are 20-13-2 ATS

When INDIANA team played as a Home team - Before a conference game vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % they are 9-3 ATS

When ANY NBA Team played as a Road team - with 2 days off - Allowed 106 - 110 AGAINST in their last game they are 57-122 straight up!

Play the Pacers plus the points tonight!

Rest of the NBA plays!
Orlando -2
Charlotte +13
Portland +2.5

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Monday NBA

Here are the hoops plays for tonight make sure to check out the MLB forum for opening
day picks!! Oh yeah and sign up for Bet Jam already!!

NBA

Celtics/Sixers Over --The sixers will cover this number too
but the one thing for sure is that they will score some points!

Phoenix +2.5--The suns got beat by the Pistons when they
played earlier but SHAQ ia ready now, suns roll!

When DETROIT team played as a Home team - After a conference game - Scored
between 81 - 85 POINTS FOR in their last game they are 14-29-3 ATS

Memphis +8--Road weary Nuggets are starting to fade. When
MEMPHIS team played as a Home team - with 1 day off - playing on Monday - Coming
off vs Western conference opponent they are 17-6 ATS

Saturday NBA

Feel free to share your thoughts on these games or any others.

NBA Tonight

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Atlanta -1 over Orlando

If the Magic get the win they can set a road record but don’t look for motivation here. The Hawks are above .500 at home and will match up nicely against the Magic tonight and get the win outright.
When ATLANTA team Played as Home team as a Underdog - Last 3 years - Coming off vs Eastern conference opponent - Coming off 1 ATS lost they are 10-5 ATS

New Orleans -2 Over Boston
The Celtics proved there worth by sweeping the Texas triangle and they will pick the wrong place to let up in New Orleans. The hornets and CP3 have gotten little respect and have played great at home.
When NEW ORLEANS team played as a Home team - Last 2 years - Coming off 2 game home stand they are 7-4 ATS

Pacers +6 Over Bulls
The Pacers and Bulls are both fighting for the last playoff spot but it’s the Pacers that have come along way to get here and are playing better basketball. The Pacers should win this one outright and move closer to getting the 8 spot. The points are a gift.

Memphis +2 over Kings
These teams play the same style of basketball and the Grizzlies will benefit from this as the Kings are coming off a tough game against the Spurs.

NBA TNT Hoops

In honor of the great card tonight for the NBA I am going to hit all three games so let’s begin.





Cleveland @ Chicago



When I saw this game I knew exactly what team I was going to take and the line solidified it.

This line will drop and I will wait to get it at less, but it won’t matter. The Bulls are going to win this game handedly. In fact I would not be surprised if it was by double digits. Everyone out there is scratching their head and saying the Cavs are getting points? How? Why? The Cavs just beat them? Well on the road is a different story and the Bulls have revenge and a lot to show with this game tonight. They were close in the last game before James pulled it away with minutes left but that won’t happen tonight. Lebron is off a huge 50 point game last night and will not get up for this game tonight.



When CLEVELAND team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Last 3 years - Coming off 2 ATS win they are 3-7 ATS



When CHICAGO team played as a Home team - Vs Central opponent - Coming off 1 ATS win they are 14-7 ATS



The Cavs have a ton of bad numbers in the road underdog spot.

They are 19-33 ATS when playing as a road dog off a in in back to back games—(2-14ATS in the last 3 years)

They are 19-27 ATS when playing as a road dog off a road win—

They are 9-20 ATS when playing as a road dog in back to back games in the last three years—(3-7 ATS as a dog of 3.5-6, it’s 0-3 ATS when less than three points)



These are numbers I can’t ignore. The Bulls run tonight and catch the Cavs in a tough spot and blow them away!



Chicago Bulls -3.5








Indiana @ San Antonio



For this game I am going to look at the total which I have currently at 197. The Spurs at home make a point of playing great defense and the Pacers play offense and so it is a matter of what will dominate in this game. The Pacers are off a game last night where they were beat by the Rockets and so I don’t look for an up and down game and that means the Spurs can control the tempo.



When the Pacers are a road dog with the total between 195-200 the under is 24-13-2



When INDIANA team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of March - After a non division game - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog the under is 14-3



When SAN ANTONIO team played as a Home team - with 1 day off - After a non conference game - Coming off 1 game home stand the under is 22-7-2



When SAN ANTONIO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 2 years - Coming off a 8-11 point win the under is 12-6



The Pacers may stay in this one but it will go under the total.

Spurs / Pacers Under 197

Houston @ Dallas

This game is covered in great storylines with the Rockets on a huge winning streak even though they have lost the services of Yao Ming for the rest of the season. On the other end of the coin the Mavericks have had a tough time winning since making the trade for Jason Kidd and now Dirk Nowitzski will be suspended for tonight’s game. The current line is Dallas -1 and that may have some people shaking their head like in game one of TNT’s games tonight but I believe it is dead on. The Rockets have always had trouble playing in Dallas. Houston is off a game last night and so the back to back theory comes in and the Rockets are 7-12 ATS as a road dog in back to back games coming off a road win. Dallas on the other hand is off a two day break and they are 47-32-2 ATS as a home favorite with 2 days off, and that goes to 18-9 ATS in the last 3 years, which goes to an outstanding 6-0 ATS if they are off a loss. When a team loses a key player, I have always believed they are a play ON in the next game because the other players rise to the occasion to make up for that players absence.



Dallas -1