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Clippers @ Pacers Wow--Danny Granger looks good for the Pacers and he is off a 41 point performance in his last game, the problem is he has to do that almost every night for this team to win because they are shorthanded of late. Ford and Murphy are game time decisions tonight. The Clippers are off a frustrating loss in OT to the Bulls but are playing better ball especially when it comes to getting the cash. The LA Clippers have proved a go-to-team recently, cashing eight of 11 overall and five of seven on the highway. It will be impossible for Granger to have the same kind of game they did last time and the Clippers will walk away with a win on the road they most desperately need!
“We have try to regroup and we have two more games on this road trip,” Camby said.
Clippers +2.5Philly @ WashingtonThe big news here is Elton Brand will be out of the lineup tonight as he separated his shoulder in the last game that he played. If Philadelphia wants to go small, it could use Thaddeus Young in Brand’s place. Young would switch from small to power forward in the starting lineup. Rookie Marreese Speights and Reggie Evans will likely have their roles expanded.
Jamison could be missing for the Wizards--who are playing some horrible basketball shooting poorly and losers of four straight. The thing is Washington is looking for revenge after getting beat by the Sixers and the Sixers don't play well in Washington. Philadelphia has dropped nine of its last 13 on the road ATS and eight of nine against Southeast Division competition. The 76ers have come up short in four of their last five visits to the Verizon Center.
This is going to be an ugly one but if I had to I would take the Wizards at +1.
Warriors @ HawksThe Hawks are off a very tough loss to the Celtics in a game they had but let slip away late in the fourth quarter. Atlanta has won two of three during its current eight-game home stand. The Hawks have 'covered' four of five against Golden State and six of eight against the West. The Warriors have flopped in six of seven on the road ATS and in eight of 11 versus Eastern foes. I hate to drop these many points but you have to expect the Hawks to rebouond with a big win and cover the 10 points.
Milwaukee@ New YorkThis game is tough because the Knicks actually looked like a decent team on the road trip out west but they have had no luck against the Bucks and have lost four straight against them. Luckily for the Knicks they get the Bucks on the end of a long and grueling road trip. On Wednesday against the Sixers, the bucks were tired so I would expect more form them tonight. The Knicks coming home off a road trip will produce a lower score even though they play up tempo basketball. The Knicks have gone under in 7 of 9 overall and in 6 of the last 7 against the Central.
UNDER 215Dallas @ New JerseyJason Kidd returns to NJ for the first time since leaving the Nets. “The things that we accomplished while I was there, nobody can take that away,” said Kidd, who is averaging 9.3 points, 8.2 assists and 6.4 rebounds for the 14-10 Mavericks. “We took something that was almost nothing and we had a great ride. Got to the finals twice, made it to the playoffs every year and we brought a lot of respect to New Jersey basketball.
“I did everything I could.”
You could tell his time there was pretty important but he will have to take on Devin Harris at point who is having a great season and was the main piece in return for Kidd.Dallas has thrived against New Jersey, grabbing the cheese in 12 of 16 meetings. The Mavericks are currently on a six-game ATS spread run on the highway. The Nets are 3-13-2 ATS of late against Southwest Division outfits. Jason Kidd will make sure to be up and ready for this game. NJ is 26-46 ATS as a home dog of 3.5-6 points and Dallas is an amazing 197-139 ATS after a non conference game since 1996.
Dallas -3.5Chicago @ BostonThe Celtics have been red hot and are off a win against the Hawks in the final minutes. Including playoffs, the Celtics have won 33 of their last 35 at home. They’re 62-8 there since the beginning of last season, allowing an average of 87.8 points in that span. The Bulls come into this game off two OT games and you have to wonder how much gas they have left in the tank for this game. I am afraid the Celtics could be looking past this game as they are still basking in the Hawks win and will find a tough time matching the intensity against the Bulls. On the same note I can't back the Bulls off two OT games and with a bad road record. If I had to I would most likely take the total to go OVER but there are better games out there tonight.
Lakers @ MiamiESPN has picked a good game for tonight as Kobe takes on Wade in Miami. Keep a close eye on the starting lineup as they are announced because Gasol has strep and Odom has a respiratory illness that he played through against the Knicks. I am going right to the total on this and going
OVER 203 The Lakers are 6-1 Over off back to back home wins and the Heat are shooting miserable in the current losing streak so a return to form against a big team is in the cards as Wade will often play up when he is playing against a superstar.Miami has zipped over in five of seven at home and in six of seven against Pacific Division teams. Los Angeles has skied over in eight of 11 versus the East. I wanted to take the Heat at home plus the points but they have some awful ATS numbers so I will stick with the total.
Toronto @ Oklahoma CityYuck, what a crummy game but I believe just because its a crummy game does not mean you can't find a good betting opportunity. In fact I like the side and the total in this game! I was searching around the net and I found a great system for the total here:
PLAY OVER on all teams like Toronto, when the total is 200 to 209.5 after two or more consecutive Unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams scoring 92-98 points per game. Toronto has actually played five consecutive games under the total and facing a bad defensive team like Oklahoma City figures to give them the chance to score points. The Thunder is no offensive juggernaut; nevertheless they have been better of late averaging 99 points per game in last five outings.
Since 2004, this system is 30-7, 81.1 percent, with average score totaling 216.4 points a game. In fact, almost 70 percent of the games that fit this system have gone over the number by seven or more points, including both winners this season.
Now for the side, OKC may have bad numbers but they are not bad at covering at 13-12 ATS on the season. The Raptors are another story as they have fallen eight of last 10 times they have played and are on 3-11 ATS run. Oklahoma City looks to extend a four-game 'cover' run against Toronto. The Thunder has cashed seven of 10 overall. The Raptors are 8-21 ATS versus Western foes and they have failed in 14 of 16 Friday fracases ATS.
I never like to back a team as a road favorite that are not playing well and the Thunder have played well enough to be in games this year and just may win this one. Double dip here.
OKC +6 and OVER 200Charlotte @ MemphisWhen your as bad as these two teams are you rarely look ahead to games, so even though Memphis plays the lakers next they have to pay attention to the Bobcats although they have owned them of late at 7-1 in the last eight. Wallace comes back for the bobcats and this game to me leans heavily towards Charlotte. OJ Mayo is having a great start to the season for Memphis but him and Rudy gay seem to be the only contributors to this team and that may leave them vulnerable to an inside game that Charlotte has. Charlotte has cashed seven of nine on the highway and will be in this game enough to get the cash and maybe even the outright win!
Bobcats +4
Utah @ DetroitThis is one of the hardest games for me to like tonight and it is a pass for me. I do see AI getting more comfortable and believe that will lead to more overs for the Pistons as the lines are usually set low and that could happen tonight but I will be laying off this game.
Kings @ RocketsThe Kings are in the middle of a tough road stretch and have been hanging their heads in shame after the way Portland handled them. Tonight should be more of the same as the Rockets finally have a healthy team and Artest will face his old club. The Rockets really want to do well in this game before they head off on the road.“You’ve gotta get Sacramento coming in here,” Adelman said. “We’ve got to come out and play a solid game because after that we’ve got three more (road) games in a row (in four days).” The Rockets are a very nice 26-10 ATS on friday nights!
Rockets -12.5
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