Thursday, March 6, 2008

NBA TNT Hoops

In honor of the great card tonight for the NBA I am going to hit all three games so let’s begin.





Cleveland @ Chicago



When I saw this game I knew exactly what team I was going to take and the line solidified it.

This line will drop and I will wait to get it at less, but it won’t matter. The Bulls are going to win this game handedly. In fact I would not be surprised if it was by double digits. Everyone out there is scratching their head and saying the Cavs are getting points? How? Why? The Cavs just beat them? Well on the road is a different story and the Bulls have revenge and a lot to show with this game tonight. They were close in the last game before James pulled it away with minutes left but that won’t happen tonight. Lebron is off a huge 50 point game last night and will not get up for this game tonight.



When CLEVELAND team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Last 3 years - Coming off 2 ATS win they are 3-7 ATS



When CHICAGO team played as a Home team - Vs Central opponent - Coming off 1 ATS win they are 14-7 ATS



The Cavs have a ton of bad numbers in the road underdog spot.

They are 19-33 ATS when playing as a road dog off a in in back to back games—(2-14ATS in the last 3 years)

They are 19-27 ATS when playing as a road dog off a road win—

They are 9-20 ATS when playing as a road dog in back to back games in the last three years—(3-7 ATS as a dog of 3.5-6, it’s 0-3 ATS when less than three points)



These are numbers I can’t ignore. The Bulls run tonight and catch the Cavs in a tough spot and blow them away!



Chicago Bulls -3.5









Indiana @ San Antonio



For this game I am going to look at the total which I have currently at 197. The Spurs at home make a point of playing great defense and the Pacers play offense and so it is a matter of what will dominate in this game. The Pacers are off a game last night where they were beat by the Rockets and so I don’t look for an up and down game and that means the Spurs can control the tempo.



When the Pacers are a road dog with the total between 195-200 the under is 24-13-2



When INDIANA team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of March - After a non division game - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog the under is 14-3



When SAN ANTONIO team played as a Home team - with 1 day off - After a non conference game - Coming off 1 game home stand the under is 22-7-2



When SAN ANTONIO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 2 years - Coming off a 8-11 point win the under is 12-6



The Pacers may stay in this one but it will go under the total.

Spurs / Pacers Under 197

Houston @ Dallas


This game is covered in great storylines with the Rockets on a huge winning streak even though they have lost the services of Yao Ming for the rest of the season. On the other end of the coin the Mavericks have had a tough time winning since making the trade for Jason Kidd and now Dirk Nowitzski will be suspended for tonight’s game. The current line is Dallas -1 and that may have some people shaking their head like in game one of TNT’s games tonight but I believe it is dead on. The Rockets have always had trouble playing in Dallas. Houston is off a game last night and so the back to back theory comes in and the Rockets are 7-12 ATS as a road dog in back to back games coming off a road win. Dallas on the other hand is off a two day break and they are 47-32-2 ATS as a home favorite with 2 days off, and that goes to 18-9 ATS in the last 3 years, which goes to an outstanding 6-0 ATS if they are off a loss. When a team loses a key player, I have always believed they are a play ON in the next game because the other players rise to the occasion to make up for that players absence.



Dallas -1

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